Picks against the spread and on the total for every College Football game from our computer model, rated 1 to 5 stars. Full Access members see every pick before kickoff; everyone sees them 10 minutes after kickoff. The record is free for everyone.
| Spreads | Totals | All | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 96–84–2 53.3% | 86–96 47.3% | 182–180–2 50.3% |
| ★★★★★ and up | 32–24 57.1% | 12–23 34.3% | 44–47 48.4% |
| ★★★★★ Top pick | 20–14 58.8% | 4–10 28.6% | 24–24 50.0% |
| ★★★★★ Strong | 12–10 54.5% | 8–13 38.1% | 20–23 46.5% |
| ★★★★★ Solid | 11–14 44.0% | 22–19 53.7% | 33–33 50.0% |
| ★★★★★ Lean | 20–9 69.0% | 23–18 56.1% | 43–27 61.4% |
| ★★★★★ Slight lean | 33–37–2 47.1% | 29–36 44.6% | 62–73–2 45.9% |
Wins and losses at the line when the game started; pushes don't count toward the win %. ★★★★★ and up is about the top quarter of our picks.
| Projected | |
|---|---|
| OhioBobcats | Full Access |
| AkronZips | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
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| BuffaloBulls | Full Access |
| Miami (OH)RedHawks | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
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| ToledoRockets | Full Access |
| Sacramento StateHornets | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| Central MichiganChippewas | Full Access |
| Eastern MichiganEagles | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| UTSARoadrunners | Full Access |
| Florida AtlanticOwls | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| James MadisonDukes | Full Access |
| Southern MississippiGolden Eagles | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| Virginia TechHokies | Full Access |
| SMUMustangs | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| South FloridaBulls | Full Access |
| East CarolinaPirates | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| NebraskaCornhuskers | Full Access |
| IllinoisFighting Illini | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| New MexicoLobos | Full Access |
| NevadaWolf Pack | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| TCUHorned Frogs | Full Access |
| ArizonaWildcats | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| BYUCougars | Full Access |
| UtahUtes | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| UCLABruins | Full Access |
| MinnesotaGolden Gophers | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| TexasLonghorns | Full Access |
| MissouriTigers | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| ClemsonTigers | Full Access |
| SyracuseOrange | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| North CarolinaTar Heels | Full Access |
| UConnHuskies | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| Iowa StateCyclones | Full Access |
| BaylorBears | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| Florida StateSeminoles | Full Access |
| Boston CollegeEagles | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| TulsaGolden Hurricane | Full Access |
| TulaneGreen Wave | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| MarylandTerrapins | Full Access |
| PurdueBoilermakers | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| DukeBlue Devils | Full Access |
| NC StateWolfpack | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| ArkansasRazorbacks | Full Access |
| AuburnTigers | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| Oklahoma StateCowboys | Full Access |
| Kansas StateWildcats | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| Old DominionMonarchs | Full Access |
| Coastal CarolinaChanticleers | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| Texas A&MAggies | Full Access |
| South CarolinaGamecocks | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| DelawareBlue Hens | Full Access |
| Kennesaw StateOwls | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| UL MonroeWarhawks | Full Access |
| Arkansas StateRed Wolves | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| AlabamaCrimson Tide | Full Access |
| LSUTigers | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| OregonDucks | Full Access |
| Ohio StateBuckeyes | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| Penn StateNittany Lions | Full Access |
| WashingtonHuskies | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| CincinnatiBearcats | Full Access |
| HoustonCougars | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| MarshallThundering Herd | Full Access |
| Georgia SouthernEagles | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| Western KentuckyHilltoppers | Full Access |
| Middle TennesseeBlue Raiders | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| Charlotte49ers | Full Access |
| UABBlazers | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| TempleOwls | Full Access |
| NavyMidshipmen | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| UCFKnights | Full Access |
| KansasJayhawks | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| RiceOwls | Full Access |
| North TexasMean Green | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| Missouri StateBears | Full Access |
| Florida InternationalPanthers | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| Louisiana TechBulldogs | Full Access |
| TroyTrojans | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| Northern IllinoisHuskies | Full Access |
| San Jose StateSpartans | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| VanderbiltCommodores | Full Access |
| Mississippi StateBulldogs | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| RutgersScarlet Knights | Full Access |
| WisconsinBadgers | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| South AlabamaJaguars | Full Access |
| LouisianaRagin Cajuns | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| Boise StateBroncos | Full Access |
| Colorado StateRams | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| KentuckyWildcats | Full Access |
| TennesseeVolunteers | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| Sam Houston StateBearkats | Full Access |
| Jacksonville StateGamecocks | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| GeorgiaBulldogs | Full Access |
| Ole MissRebels | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| MiamiHurricanes | Full Access |
| Notre DameFighting Irish | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| IowaHawkeyes | Full Access |
| NorthwesternWildcats | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| Michigan StateSpartans | Full Access |
| MichiganWolverines | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| LouisvilleCardinals | Full Access |
| Georgia TechYellow Jackets | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| ColoradoBuffaloes | Full Access |
| Arizona StateSun Devils | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| Air ForceFalcons | Full Access |
| ArmyBlack Knights | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| OklahomaSooners | Full Access |
| FloridaGators | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| LibertyFlames | Full Access |
| New Mexico StateAggies | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| WestVirginia Mountaineers | Full Access |
| Texas TechRed Raiders | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| HawaiiRainbow Warriors | Full Access |
| UTEPMiners | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| Fresno StateBulldogs | Full Access |
| Utah StateAggies | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| Texas StateBobcats | Full Access |
| Oregon StateBeavers | Full Access |
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| Projected | |
|---|---|
| WyomingCowboys | Full Access |
| UNLVRebels | Full Access |
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Our computer picks come from a model that rates every team on offense and defense, then projects the final score of every game.
Picks lock at kickoff and are never changed afterwards. Every pick, win or lose, goes into the public record below. Computer picks are projections, not guarantees. Bet responsibly. 21+.
Star ratings. The bigger the gap between our projection and the line, the more stars:
By noon on a fall Saturday there are more games on than you can track, and half of them involve teams you couldn't find on a map. That's where college football computer picks today earn their keep. The model posts a spread pick and a total pick for every college football game with lines, rated 1 to 5 stars, so a Group of Five game at 3:30 gets the same look as the top-ten matchup in prime time.
Members who upgrade to Full Access see the picks before kickoff. Everyone else gets the stars now and the picks a few minutes after kickoff, plus the full record for free.
College football has the widest talent gap of any sport our computer model covers. A team can be 5-0 because it played nobody. The model rates each team's offense and defense from final scores, this season and last, and adjusts every result for the opponent. Scoring 45 on a bad defense counts for less than scoring 24 on a great one.
FBS teams playing FCS opponents are covered once the model has enough of both teams' games to rate them. Until then the game gets no pick. We'd rather skip a game than guess at it.
The projected score goes up against the spread and total, and the gap sets the stars: Top pick (5 stars, about the top 10% of edges), Strong, Solid, Lean and Slight lean. College margins run bigger than the NFL's, so the star cutoffs start wider. A three-point disagreement with a 28-point spread won't earn much.
Home field is measured from results. Bowl games, the College Football Playoff and other neutral-site games get no home edge at all.
Picks follow the line until kickoff and then lock. They're graded on the kickoff line, and postponed games are left out. Each game also gets a projected score for both teams (members see it before kickoff, everyone else after), which is half the fun when two offenses that don't play defense meet.
In the first few weeks, last season's results do a lot of the work. That helps, but old scores can't see a coaching change, a wave of transfers or a new quarterback. We'd be more careful with September picks than November ones. As the season goes on the ratings lean harder on this year's games, and each week the model replays the last six weeks with different settings and keeps the one that projected best.
The record is free: by star level, spreads and totals, the last 7 and 30 days, this season and all time. Check the 4-stars-and-up row before trusting a big rating, and give a 5 star pick on a team with a new quarterback a few weeks to prove itself.
21+. Bet only what you can afford. Help is at 1-800-GAMBLER.
Picks from a model that rates every FBS team on offense and defense from its scores, adjusted for strength of schedule and home field, then projects each game's score against the spread and total.
Our record on this page shows every college football pick, graded on the line at kickoff, by star rating and time period. Nothing is left out.
The model projects both teams' scores. If it has a team winning by more than the spread (or losing by less), that team is the pick; the bigger the gap, the more stars.
Every game with a spread and total on our Bet page, including FBS teams against FCS teams once the model has enough of their games.
Yes. Every bowl game and College Football Playoff game with lines gets a pick. Neutral-site games get no home-field edge.
Yes. Every game shows the projected score for both teams next to the spread and total picks.
More: NFL computer picks · College Football computer picks · NBA computer picks · College Basketball computer picks · Expert picks and consensus · Scores · Bet
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